Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 30 July 2019 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
MDR
Fieldwork period
24 to 29 Jul 2019
Respondents
1,001
Method
Telefonisch
  • Linke25.0%+1.0
  • AfD24.0%+4.0
  • CDU21.0%-7.0
  • Grüne11.0%+3.0
  • SPD8.0%-3.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 26 Mar 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Linke ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 24 to 29 Jul 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by MDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 26 Mar 2019, CDU loses 7.0 points, AfD gains 4.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 5.3 points lower and AfD 2.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -5.3average 26.3
  • AfD +2.7average 21.3
  • Linke +2.6average 22.4
  • SPD -1.8average 9.8
  • Grüne +0.9average 10.1
  • FDP -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 23 seatsAfD: 22 seatsCDU: 20 seatsGrüne: 10 seatsSPD: 8 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke23
  • AfD22
  • CDU20
  • Grüne10
  • SPD8
  • FDP5
  • Linke + AfD45 of 88
  • Linke + CDU + Grüne53 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne52 of 88
  • Linke + CDU + SPD51 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + SPD50 of 88
  • Linke + CDU + FDP48 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + FDP47 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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