Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 16 September 2019 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
MDR
Fieldwork period
10 to 14 Sep 2019
Respondents
1,001
Method
Telefonisch
  • Linke28.0%+3.0
  • AfD25.0%+1.0
  • CDU22.0%+1.0
  • Grüne8.0%-3.0
  • SPD7.0%-1.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 30 Jul 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Linke ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 10 to 14 Sep 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by MDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 30 Jul 2019, Linke gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Linke 4.6 points higher and CDU 3.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +4.6average 23.4
  • CDU -3.3average 25.3
  • AfD +3.2average 21.8
  • Grüne -2.6average 10.6
  • SPD -2.3average 9.3
  • FDP +0.4average 4.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 26 seatsAfD: 23 seatsCDU: 20 seatsSPD: 7 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke26
  • AfD23
  • CDU20
  • SPD7
  • Grüne7
  • FDP5
  • Linke + AfD49 of 88
  • Linke + CDU46 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + SPD50 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne50 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + FDP48 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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