Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 17 October 2019 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
14 to 16 Oct 2019
Respondents
1,011
Method
Telefonisch
  • Linke29.0%+1.0
  • AfD24.0%-1.0
  • CDU24.0%+2.0
  • SPD8.0%+1.0
  • Grüne7.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 Sep 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Linke ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,011 people were surveyed from 14 to 16 Oct 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 Sep 2019, CDU gains 2.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Linke 1.9 points higher and AfD 1.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.9average 27.1
  • AfD +1.9average 22.1
  • Grüne -1.7average 8.7
  • SPD -0.8average 8.8
  • FDP -0.7average 4.7
  • CDU -0.4average 24.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 28 seatsAfD: 23 seatsCDU: 23 seatsSPD: 7 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke28
  • AfD23
  • CDU23
  • SPD7
  • Grüne7
  • Linke + AfD51 of 88
  • Linke + CDU51 of 88
  • AfD + CDU46 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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