Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 28 January 2020 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
MDR
Fieldwork period
21 to 25 Jan 2020
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefonisch
  • Linke32.0%+3.0
  • AfD24.0%±0
  • CDU19.0%-5.0
  • SPD8.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%+2.0
  • Grüne6.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 17 Oct 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Linke ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 21 to 25 Jan 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by MDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 17 Oct 2019, CDU loses 5.0 points, Linke gains 3.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 5.3 points lower and Linke 3.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -5.3average 24.3
  • Linke +3.6average 28.4
  • Grüne -1.8average 7.8
  • AfD +1.6average 22.4
  • FDP +1.0average 5.0
  • SPD -0.7average 8.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 30 seatsAfD: 22 seatsCDU: 18 seatsSPD: 7 seatsFDP: 6 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke30
  • AfD22
  • CDU18
  • SPD7
  • FDP6
  • Grüne5
  • Linke + AfD52 of 88
  • Linke + CDU48 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + SPD47 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + FDP46 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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