Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 26 March 2019 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
MDR
Fieldwork period
19 to 23 Mar 2019
Respondents
1,005
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU28.0%-2.0
  • Linke24.0%+2.0
  • AfD20.0%-3.0
  • SPD11.0%+1.0
  • Grüne8.0%+2.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Aug 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Linke on 24.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by MDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Aug 2018, AfD loses 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +1.0average 27.0
  • SPD +1.0average 10.0
  • Linke ±0average 24.0
  • AfD ±0average 20.0
  • Grüne ±0average 8.0
  • FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 26 seatsLinke: 22 seatsAfD: 18 seatsSPD: 10 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • CDU26
  • Linke22
  • AfD18
  • SPD10
  • Grüne7
  • FDP5
  • CDU + Linke48 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + SPD54 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne51 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + SPD50 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + FDP49 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + Grüne47 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + FDP45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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