Infratest dimap poll of 19 March 2024 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- MDR
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 18 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 1,182
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD29.0%-5.0
- CDU20.0%-1.0
- Linke16.0%-4.0
- BSW15.0%
- SPD9.0%-1.0
- Grüne5.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Jul 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,182 people were surveyed from 14 to 18 Mar 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by MDR.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Jul 2023, AfD loses 5.0 points, Linke loses 4.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has BSW 6.5 points higher and AfD 5.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +6.5average 8.5
- AfD -5.5average 34.5
- Linke -4.7average 20.7
- SPD +1.7average 7.3
- CDU +1.0average 19.0
- Grüne +0.7average 4.3
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD27
- CDU19
- Linke15
- BSW14
- SPD8
- Grüne5
- AfD + CDU46 of 88
- AfD + Linke + BSW56 of 88
- AfD + Linke + SPD50 of 88
- AfD + BSW + SPD49 of 88
- CDU + Linke + BSW48 of 88
- AfD + Linke + Grüne47 of 88
- AfD + BSW + Grüne46 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.