Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 18 June 2024 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
MDR
Fieldwork period
13 to 16 Jun 2024
Respondents
1,172
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD28.0%-1.0
  • CDU23.0%+3.0
  • BSW21.0%+6.0
  • Linke11.0%-5.0
  • SPD7.0%-2.0
  • Grüne4.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Mar 2024.

In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 1,172 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Jun 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by MDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Mar 2024, BSW gains 6.0 points, Linke loses 5.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has BSW 11.0 points higher and Linke 5.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • BSW +11.0average 10.0
  • Linke -5.5average 16.5
  • AfD -5.0average 33.0
  • CDU +3.0average 20.0
  • SPD -1.0average 8.0
  • Grüne -1.0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 27 seatsCDU: 22 seatsBSW: 21 seatsLinke: 11 seatsSPD: 7 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • AfD27
  • CDU22
  • BSW21
  • Linke11
  • SPD7
  • AfD + CDU49 of 88
  • AfD + BSW48 of 88
  • CDU + BSW + Linke54 of 88
  • CDU + BSW + SPD50 of 88
  • AfD + Linke + SPD45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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