Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 5 July 2023 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
MDR
Fieldwork period
28 Jun 2023 to 3 Jul 2023
Respondents
1,193
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD34.0%+9.0
  • CDU21.0%-1.0
  • Linke20.0%-2.0
  • SPD10.0%-1.0
  • Grüne5.0%-2.0
  • FDP4.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Aug 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,193 people were surveyed from 28 Jun 2023 to 3 Jul 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by MDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Aug 2022, AfD gains 9.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 5.0 points higher and Linke 3.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +5.0average 29.0
  • Linke -3.5average 23.5
  • CDU +1.7average 19.3
  • FDP -1.5average 5.5
  • SPD -0.5average 10.5
  • Grüne ±0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 33 seatsLinke: 20 seatsCDU: 20 seatsSPD: 10 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • AfD33
  • Linke20
  • CDU20
  • SPD10
  • Grüne5
  • AfD + Linke53 of 88
  • AfD + CDU53 of 88
  • Linke + CDU + SPD50 of 88
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne48 of 88
  • Linke + CDU + Grüne45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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