Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 2 March 2021 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
MDR
Fieldwork period
25 Feb 2021 to 1 Mar 2021
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefonisch
  • Linke29.0%-3.0
  • AfD23.0%+3.0
  • CDU22.0%-2.0
  • SPD10.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%+2.0
  • Grüne5.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Aug 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Linke ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 25 Feb 2021 to 1 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by MDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Aug 2020, Linke loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 3.0 points higher and Grüne 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +3.0average 7.0
  • Grüne -3.0average 8.0
  • Linke -2.0average 31.0
  • AfD ±0average 23.0
  • CDU ±0average 22.0
  • FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 27 seatsAfD: 21 seatsCDU: 20 seatsSPD: 9 seatsFDP: 6 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke27
  • AfD21
  • CDU20
  • SPD9
  • FDP6
  • Grüne5
  • Linke + AfD48 of 88
  • Linke + CDU47 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + SPD50 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + FDP47 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne46 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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