Pollster and election
Infratest dimap on the Schleswig-Holstein state election
13 polls since 16 March 2017, the latest from 16 April 2026 for NDR. Against the current average of all pollsters, Infratest dimap has CDU +3.0 and AfD -1.5.
- CDU33.0%-5.0
- Grüne19.0%+2.0
- AfD15.0%+7.0
- SPD12.0%-3.0
- Linke6.0%
- SSW5.0%-2.0
- FDP4.0%-4.0
- Others6.0%-1.0
33.0%
-5.0
CDU
19.0%
+2.0
Grüne
15.0%
+7.0
AfD
12.0%
-3.0
SPD
6.0%
Linke
5.0%
-2.0
SSW
4.0%
-4.0
FDP
6.0%
-1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Infratest dimap poll of 27 Apr 2023.
Trend
All Infratest dimap figures for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
Accuracy
Infratest dimap before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 8 May 2022 (poll 28 Apr 2022)2.4 ptsbiggest miss CDU -5.4
- Election 7 May 2017 (poll 27 Apr 2017)1.3 ptsbiggest miss SPD +3.8
Archive
All 13 polls
| Pollster | Published | CDU | Grüne | AfD | SPD | Linke | SSW | FDP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infratest dimap | 16 Apr 2026 | 33 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 27 Apr 2023 | 38 | 17 | 8 | 15 | – | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 28 Apr 2022 | 38 | 16 | 5 | 19 | – | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 21 Apr 2022 | 38 | 16 | 6 | 20 | – | 4 | 9 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 31 Mar 2022 | 36 | 18 | 6 | 20 | – | 4 | 8 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 10 Mar 2022 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 20 Jan 2022 | 28 | 20 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 28 May 2021 | 28 | 27 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 20 Apr 2018 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 27 Apr 2017 | 32 | 12 | 6 | 31 | 4.5 | 3 | 8.5 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 20 Apr 2017 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 33 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 6 Apr 2017 | 30 | 12 | 7 | 33 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 2 |
| Infratest dimap | 16 Mar 2017 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 33 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 3 |