Pollster and election
Infratest dimap on the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
28 polls since 19 February 2017, the latest from 28 June 2026 for WDR-Westpol. Against the current average of all pollsters, Infratest dimap has AfD -2.5 and CDU +1.5. House effect since 23 Sep 2024: CDU -1.3, Linke +0.8, SPD +0.7.
- CDU32.0%-3.0
- SPD17.0%-3.0
- AfD17.0%+2.0
- Grüne15.0%+2.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%+1.0
32.0%
-3.0
CDU
17.0%
-3.0
SPD
17.0%
+2.0
AfD
15.0%
+2.0
Grüne
6.0%
±0
Linke
5.0%
+1.0
FDP
8.0%
+1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Infratest dimap poll of 1 Feb 2026.
Trend
All Infratest dimap figures for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
Accuracy
Infratest dimap before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 15 May 2022 (poll 5 May 2022)2.5 ptsbiggest miss CDU -5.7
- Election 14 May 2017 (poll 4 May 2017)0.8 ptsbiggest miss CDU -2.0
Archive
All 28 polls
| Pollster | Published | CDU | SPD | AfD | Grüne | Linke | FDP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infratest dimap | 28 Jun 2026 | 32 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 1 Feb 2026 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 29 Jun 2025 | 39 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 13 Oct 2024 | 40 | 18 | 13 | 14 | – | 3 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 28 Apr 2024 | 38 | 19 | 11 | 17 | – | 5 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 5 Nov 2023 | 35 | 18 | 14 | 18 | – | 5 | 10 |
| Infratest dimap | 18 Jun 2023 | 32 | 22 | 15 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 23 Oct 2022 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 22 | – | 5 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 5 May 2022 | 30 | 28 | 8 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 24 Apr 2022 | 31 | 30 | 7 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 3 Apr 2022 | 31 | 30 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 30 Jan 2022 | 28 | 28 | 8 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 24 Oct 2021 | 22 | 31 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 11 Apr 2021 | 28 | 18 | 8 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 31 Jan 2021 | 37 | 17 | 6 | 24 | 3 | 8 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 2 Sep 2020 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 14 Jun 2020 | 37 | 20 | 7 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 19 Apr 2020 | 40 | 19 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 3 Nov 2019 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 24 Feb 2019 | 30 | 23 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 7 Oct 2018 | 28 | 21 | 12 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 13 May 2018 | 35 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 14 Jan 2018 | 34 | 28 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 3 Sep 2017 | 33 | 30 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 4 May 2017 | 31 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 23 Apr 2017 | 34 | 34 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 19 Mar 2017 | 30 | 37 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 19 Feb 2017 | 30 | 37 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 3 |