Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 31 January 2021 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
WDR-Westpol
Fieldwork period
25 to 28 Jan 2021
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU37.0%+3.0
  • Grüne24.0%+2.0
  • SPD17.0%-4.0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • AfD6.0%-1.0
  • Linke3.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Sep 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Jan 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by WDR-Westpol.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Sep 2020, SPD loses 4.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 6.0 points lower and Grüne 5.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -6.0average 23.0
  • Grüne +5.0average 19.0
  • CDU +4.0average 33.0
  • AfD -2.0average 8.0
  • Linke -2.0average 5.0
  • FDP ±0average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 73 seatsGrüne: 47 seatsSPD: 33 seatsFDP: 16 seatsAfD: 12 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • CDU73
  • Grüne47
  • SPD33
  • FDP16
  • AfD12
  • CDU + Grüne120 of 181
  • CDU + SPD106 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + AfD101 of 181
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP96 of 181
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD92 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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