Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 18 June 2023 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
WDR-Westpol
Fieldwork period
12 to 15 Jun 2023
Respondents
1,159
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU32.0%±0
  • SPD22.0%-1.0
  • Grüne16.0%-6.0
  • AfD15.0%+6.0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Linke3.0%
  • Others6.0%-3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Oct 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,159 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 Jun 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by WDR-Westpol.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Oct 2022, Grüne loses 6.0 points, AfD gains 6.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 4.5 points lower and AfD 4.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -4.5average 36.5
  • AfD +4.0average 11.0
  • SPD +0.5average 21.5
  • Grüne +0.5average 15.5
  • FDP ±0average 6.0
  • Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 63 seatsSPD: 44 seatsGrüne: 32 seatsAfD: 30 seatsFDP: 12 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • CDU63
  • SPD44
  • Grüne32
  • AfD30
  • FDP12
  • CDU + SPD107 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne95 of 181
  • CDU + AfD93 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD106 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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