Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 23 October 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
WDR-Westpol
Fieldwork period
17 to 20 Oct 2022
Respondents
1,185
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU32.0%+2.0
  • SPD23.0%-5.0
  • Grüne22.0%+6.0
  • AfD9.0%+1.0
  • FDP5.0%-3.0
  • Others9.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 May 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,185 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Oct 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by WDR-Westpol.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 May 2022, Grüne gains 6.0 points, SPD loses 5.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 4.3 points lower and Grüne 3.2 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -4.3average 36.3
  • Grüne +3.2average 18.8
  • AfD +2.3average 6.7
  • FDP -1.0average 6.0
  • SPD -0.5average 23.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 63 seatsSPD: 46 seatsGrüne: 44 seatsAfD: 18 seatsFDP: 10 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • CDU63
  • SPD46
  • Grüne44
  • AfD18
  • FDP10
  • CDU + SPD109 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne107 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD108 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP100 of 181
  • CDU + AfD + FDP91 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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