Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 5 May 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
2 to 4 May 2022
Respondents
1,537
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU30.0%-1.0
  • SPD28.0%-2.0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%+1.0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others7.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 24 Apr 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 1,537 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 May 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 24 Apr 2022, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.0 points lower and AfD 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.0average 30.0
  • AfD +1.5average 6.5
  • FDP -0.8average 8.8
  • CDU -0.1average 30.1
  • Grüne -0.1average 16.1
  • Linke +0.1average 2.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 61 seatsSPD: 56 seatsGrüne: 32 seatsFDP: 16 seatsAfD: 16 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • CDU61
  • SPD56
  • Grüne32
  • FDP16
  • AfD16
  • CDU + SPD117 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne93 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP104 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD104 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + AfD93 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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