Infratest dimap poll of 5 November 2023 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- WDR-Westpol
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Oct 2023 to 2 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 1,161
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU35.0%+3.0
- SPD18.0%-4.0
- Grüne18.0%+2.0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Others10.0%+4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Jun 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,161 people were surveyed from 30 Oct 2023 to 2 Nov 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by WDR-Westpol.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Jun 2023, SPD loses 4.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.7 points higher and SPD 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.7average 15.3
- SPD -2.3average 20.3
- AfD -1.5average 15.5
- CDU -0.3average 35.3
- FDP +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU71
- SPD36
- Grüne36
- AfD28
- FDP10
- CDU + SPD107 of 181
- CDU + Grüne107 of 181
- CDU + AfD99 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD100 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.