Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 28 April 2024 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
WDR-Westpol
Fieldwork period
22 to 25 Apr 2024
Respondents
1,181
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU38.0%+3.0
  • SPD19.0%+1.0
  • Grüne17.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%-3.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%
  • Others7.0%-3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Nov 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,181 people were surveyed from 22 to 25 Apr 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by WDR-Westpol.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Nov 2023, CDU gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 3.0 points higher and AfD 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +3.0average 16.0
  • AfD -2.0average 13.0
  • CDU +1.0average 37.0
  • Grüne +1.0average 16.0
  • FDP +1.0average 4.0
  • BSW -1.0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 77 seatsSPD: 38 seatsGrüne: 34 seatsAfD: 22 seatsFDP: 10 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • CDU77
  • SPD38
  • Grüne34
  • AfD22
  • FDP10
  • CDU + SPD115 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne111 of 181
  • CDU + AfD99 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD94 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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