Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 13 October 2024 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
WDR-Westpol
Fieldwork period
8 to 10 Oct 2024
Respondents
1,167
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU40.0%+2.0
  • SPD18.0%-1.0
  • Grüne14.0%-3.0
  • AfD13.0%+2.0
  • BSW4.0%+1.0
  • FDP3.0%-2.0
  • Others8.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Apr 2024.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,167 people were surveyed from 8 to 10 Oct 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by WDR-Westpol.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Apr 2024, Grüne loses 3.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.0 points higher and FDP 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Oct 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.0average 16.0
  • FDP -2.0average 5.0
  • AfD +1.0average 12.0
  • CDU ±0average 40.0
  • Grüne ±0average 14.0
  • BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 85 seatsSPD: 38 seatsGrüne: 30 seatsAfD: 28 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • CDU85
  • SPD38
  • Grüne30
  • AfD28
  • CDU + SPD123 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne115 of 181
  • CDU + AfD113 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD96 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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