Infratest dimap poll of 3 November 2019 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- WDR-Westpol
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 29 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU32.0%+2.0
- Grüne23.0%+6.0
- SPD20.0%-3.0
- FDP8.0%-4.0
- AfD7.0%-2.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others4.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 24 Feb 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 24 to 29 Oct 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by WDR-Westpol.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 24 Feb 2019, Grüne gains 6.0 points, FDP loses 4.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has FDP 2.5 points lower and CDU 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -2.5average 10.5
- CDU +2.0average 30.0
- AfD -1.5average 8.5
- SPD +1.0average 19.0
- Linke +1.0average 5.0
- Grüne +0.5average 22.5
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU61
- Grüne43
- SPD38
- FDP15
- AfD13
- Linke11
- CDU + Grüne104 of 181
- CDU + SPD99 of 181
- Grüne + SPD + FDP96 of 181
- Grüne + SPD + AfD94 of 181
- Grüne + SPD + Linke92 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.