Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 24 February 2019 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
WDR-Westpol
Fieldwork period
19 to 21 Feb 2019
Respondents
1,001
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU30.0%+2.0
  • SPD23.0%+2.0
  • Grüne17.0%±0
  • FDP12.0%+1.0
  • AfD9.0%-3.0
  • Linke6.0%-2.0
  • Others3.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Oct 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 19 to 21 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by WDR-Westpol.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Oct 2018, AfD loses 3.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 3.0 points lower and Grüne 2.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -3.0average 12.0
  • Grüne +2.5average 14.5
  • SPD +1.5average 21.5
  • FDP +1.5average 10.5
  • Linke -1.5average 7.5
  • CDU +0.5average 29.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 56 seatsSPD: 43 seatsGrüne: 32 seatsFDP: 22 seatsAfD: 17 seatsLinke: 11 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • CDU56
  • SPD43
  • Grüne32
  • FDP22
  • AfD17
  • Linke11
  • CDU + SPD99 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP110 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD105 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke99 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP97 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + AfD95 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD92 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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