Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 7 October 2018 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
WDR-Westpol
Fieldwork period
4 to 6 Oct 2018
Respondents
1,000
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU28.0%-7.0
  • SPD21.0%-1.0
  • Grüne17.0%+5.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%+2.0
  • Linke8.0%+1.0
  • Others3.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 May 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by WDR-Westpol.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 May 2018, CDU loses 7.0 points, Grüne gains 5.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 7.2 points higher and CDU 4.4 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +7.2average 9.8
  • CDU -4.4average 32.4
  • SPD -3.2average 24.2
  • Linke +0.9average 7.1
  • AfD +0.6average 11.4
  • FDP +0.5average 10.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 52 seatsSPD: 39 seatsGrüne: 32 seatsAfD: 22 seatsFDP: 21 seatsLinke: 15 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • CDU52
  • SPD39
  • Grüne32
  • AfD22
  • FDP21
  • Linke15
  • CDU + SPD91 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD106 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP105 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke99 of 181
  • CDU + AfD + FDP95 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD93 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP92 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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