Pollster and election
Infratest dimap on the Hesse state election
17 polls since 19 January 2018, the latest from 2 February 2026 for Hessischer Rundfunk. Against the current average of all pollsters, Infratest dimap has CDU +1.0 and AfD -1.0.
- CDU32.0%-4.0
- AfD20.0%+2.0
- SPD16.0%+3.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%+3.0
32.0%
-4.0
CDU
20.0%
+2.0
AfD
16.0%
+3.0
SPD
14.0%
±0
Grüne
6.0%
±0
Linke
3.0%
-1.0
FDP
9.0%
+3.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Infratest dimap poll of 23 Jun 2025.
Trend
All Infratest dimap figures for the Hesse state election
Accuracy
Infratest dimap before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 8 Oct 2023 (poll 28 Sep 2023)2.0 ptsbiggest miss CDU -3.6
- Election 28 Oct 2018 (poll 18 Oct 2018)1.1 ptsbiggest miss Linke +1.7
Archive
All 17 polls
| Pollster | Published | CDU | AfD | SPD | Grüne | Linke | FDP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infratest dimap | 2 Feb 2026 | 32 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 23 Jun 2025 | 36 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 26 Apr 2024 | 37 | 16 | 15 | 15 | – | 5 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 28 Sep 2023 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 14 Sep 2023 | 31 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 14 Mar 2023 | 32 | 11 | 20 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 19 Oct 2022 | 27 | 12 | 22 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 4 Mar 2022 | 27 | 7 | 24 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 25 Feb 2021 | 32 | 10 | 17 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 9 Dec 2020 | 34 | 8 | 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 14 May 2020 | 36 | 10 | 18 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 17 Feb 2020 | 26 | 12 | 16 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 26 Apr 2019 | 27 | 13 | 19 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 18 Oct 2018 | 26 | 12 | 21 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 24 Sep 2018 | 28 | 14 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 21 Jun 2018 | 31 | 15 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 19 Jan 2018 | 31 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 3 |