Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 21 June 2018 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
Hessischer Rundfunk
Fieldwork period
14 to 19 Jun 2018
Respondents
1,003
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU31.0%±0
  • SPD22.0%-3.0
  • AfD15.0%+3.0
  • Grüne14.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Jan 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 14 to 19 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Hessischer Rundfunk.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Jan 2018, SPD loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 4.3 points higher and SPD 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +4.3average 10.7
  • SPD -2.0average 24.0
  • CDU -1.3average 32.3
  • Grüne +0.7average 13.3
  • FDP -0.7average 7.7
  • Linke -0.7average 7.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 36 seatsSPD: 25 seatsAfD: 17 seatsGrüne: 16 seatsFDP: 8 seatsLinke: 8 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU36
  • SPD25
  • AfD17
  • Grüne16
  • FDP8
  • Linke8
  • CDU + SPD61 of 110
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne69 of 110
  • CDU + AfD + FDP61 of 110
  • CDU + AfD + Linke61 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP60 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke60 of 110
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne58 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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