Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 24 September 2018 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
Hessischer Rundfunk
Fieldwork period
13 to 19 Sep 2018
Respondents
1,000
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU28.0%-3.0
  • SPD23.0%+1.0
  • Grüne17.0%+3.0
  • AfD14.0%-1.0
  • Linke8.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Others3.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Jun 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Hessischer Rundfunk.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Jun 2018, CDU loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.9 points higher and CDU 2.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.9average 14.1
  • CDU -2.7average 30.7
  • AfD +1.4average 12.6
  • SPD -1.3average 24.3
  • FDP +0.3average 6.7
  • Linke ±0average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 32 seatsSPD: 26 seatsGrüne: 19 seatsAfD: 16 seatsLinke: 9 seatsFDP: 8 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU32
  • SPD26
  • Grüne19
  • AfD16
  • Linke9
  • FDP8
  • CDU + SPD58 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD67 of 110
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD61 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke60 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP59 of 110
  • CDU + AfD + Linke57 of 110
  • CDU + AfD + FDP56 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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