Infratest dimap poll of 18 October 2018 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 17 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU26.0%-2.0
- SPD21.0%-2.0
- Grüne20.0%+3.0
- AfD12.0%-2.0
- FDP9.0%+2.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others4.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 24 Sep 2018.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 16 to 17 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 24 Sep 2018, Grüne gains 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has FDP 2.1 points higher and SPD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.1average 6.9
- SPD -2.0average 23.0
- Grüne +1.9average 18.1
- CDU -1.8average 27.8
- AfD -0.6average 12.6
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU30
- SPD24
- Grüne23
- AfD14
- FDP10
- Linke9
- CDU + SPD + Grüne77 of 110
- CDU + SPD + AfD68 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + AfD67 of 110
- CDU + SPD + FDP64 of 110
- CDU + SPD + Linke63 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + FDP63 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + Linke62 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD61 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + FDP57 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + Linke56 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.