Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 26 April 2019 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
Hessischer Rundfunk
Fieldwork period
16 to 24 Apr 2019
Respondents
1,001
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU27.0%+1.0
  • Grüne21.0%+1.0
  • SPD19.0%-2.0
  • AfD13.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%-2.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Oct 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 16 to 24 Apr 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Hessischer Rundfunk.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Oct 2018, SPD loses 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.0 points lower and Linke 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.0average 21.0
  • Linke -2.0average 8.0
  • FDP +1.5average 7.5
  • CDU +0.7average 26.3
  • Grüne +0.5average 20.5
  • AfD +0.3average 12.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 31 seatsGrüne: 24 seatsSPD: 22 seatsAfD: 15 seatsFDP: 11 seatsLinke: 7 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU31
  • Grüne24
  • SPD22
  • AfD15
  • FDP11
  • Linke7
  • CDU + Grüne + SPD77 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD70 of 110
  • CDU + SPD + AfD68 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP66 of 110
  • CDU + SPD + FDP64 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke62 of 110
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD61 of 110
  • CDU + SPD + Linke60 of 110
  • CDU + AfD + FDP57 of 110
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP57 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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