Pollster and election
Infratest dimap on the Saxony state election
9 polls since 22 June 2017, the latest from 22 August 2024 for ARD. Against the current average of all pollsters, Infratest dimap has AfD -12.0 and CDU +10.0.
- CDU31.0%+2.0
- AfD30.0%±0
- BSW14.0%-1.0
- SPD7.0%±0
- Grüne6.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%-1.0
31.0%
+2.0
CDU
30.0%
±0
AfD
14.0%
-1.0
BSW
7.0%
±0
SPD
6.0%
-1.0
Grüne
4.0%
+1.0
Linke
8.0%
-1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Infratest dimap poll of 20 Jun 2024.
Trend
All Infratest dimap figures for the Saxony state election
Accuracy
Infratest dimap before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 1 Sep 2024 (poll 22 Aug 2024)0.9 ptsbiggest miss BSW +2.2
- Election 1 Sep 2019 (poll 22 Aug 2019)2.2 ptsbiggest miss Linke +5.6
Archive
All 9 polls
| Pollster | Published | CDU | AfD | BSW | SPD | Grüne | Linke | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infratest dimap | 22 Aug 2024 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 20 Jun 2024 | 29 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 25 Jan 2024 | 30 | 35 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 24 Feb 2022 | 27 | 24 | – | 13 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 20 Aug 2021 | 35 | 21 | – | 11 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 22 Aug 2019 | 30 | 24 | – | 7 | 11 | 16 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 2 Jul 2019 | 26 | 26 | – | 9 | 12 | 15 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 28 Aug 2018 | 30 | 25 | – | 11 | 6 | 18 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 22 Jun 2017 | 41 | 21 | – | 10 | 4 | 15 | 4 |