Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 2 July 2019 for the Saxony state election

Commissioned by
MDR
Fieldwork period
24 to 29 Jun 2019
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD26.0%+1.0
  • CDU26.0%-4.0
  • Linke15.0%-3.0
  • Grüne12.0%+6.0
  • SPD9.0%-2.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Aug 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 24 to 29 Jun 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by MDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Aug 2018, Grüne gains 6.0 points, CDU loses 4.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 1.8 points higher and Grüne 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.8average 24.2
  • Grüne -1.5average 13.5
  • Freie Wähler -1.0average 4.0
  • Linke -0.9average 15.9
  • SPD +0.6average 8.4
  • FDP -0.5average 5.5
  • CDU +0.1average 25.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.

AfD: 34 seatsCDU: 34 seatsLinke: 19 seatsGrüne: 15 seatsSPD: 12 seatsFDP: 6 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • AfD34
  • CDU34
  • Linke19
  • Grüne15
  • SPD12
  • FDP6
  • AfD + CDU68 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne68 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne68 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + SPD65 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + SPD65 of 120
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD61 of 120
  • CDU + Grüne + SPD61 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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