Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 4 May 2017 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
2 to 3 May 2017
Respondents
1,000
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD32.0%-2.0
  • CDU31.0%-3.0
  • FDP13.0%+3.0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%+1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others4.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Apr 2017.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 31.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 2 to 3 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Apr 2017, CDU loses 3.0 points, FDP gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 4.6 points lower and FDP 3.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -4.6average 36.6
  • FDP +3.8average 9.2
  • CDU +1.9average 29.1
  • AfD -1.1average 9.1
  • Grüne +0.8average 6.2
  • Linke -0.7average 5.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 60 seatsCDU: 59 seatsFDP: 25 seatsAfD: 15 seatsGrüne: 13 seatsLinke: 9 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • SPD60
  • CDU59
  • FDP25
  • AfD15
  • Grüne13
  • Linke9
  • SPD + CDU119 of 181
  • SPD + FDP + AfD100 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + AfD99 of 181
  • SPD + FDP + Grüne98 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + Grüne97 of 181
  • SPD + FDP + Linke94 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + Linke93 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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