Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 1 February 2026 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
WDR-Westpol
Fieldwork period
26 to 29 Jan 2026
Respondents
1,164
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU35.0%-4.0
  • SPD20.0%+4.0
  • AfD15.0%+1.0
  • Grüne13.0%-2.0
  • Linke6.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.0%+1.0
  • Others7.0%+4.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 29 Jun 2025.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,164 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Jan 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by WDR-Westpol.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 29 Jun 2025, CDU loses 4.0 points, SPD gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -1.0average 36.0
  • SPD +1.0average 19.0
  • AfD -1.0average 16.0
  • Grüne +1.0average 12.0
  • Linke -1.0average 7.0
  • FDP -1.0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 71 seatsSPD: 41 seatsAfD: 31 seatsGrüne: 26 seatsLinke: 12 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • CDU71
  • SPD41
  • AfD31
  • Grüne26
  • Linke12
  • CDU + SPD112 of 181
  • CDU + AfD102 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne97 of 181
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne98 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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