Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 22 November 2018 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
15 to 20 Nov 2018
Respondents
1,006
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU28.0%-6.0
  • SPD26.0%-8.0
  • Grüne24.0%+15.5
  • AfD9.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%-2.0
  • Linke4.0%-0.5
  • Others3.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Oct 2017.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,006 people were surveyed from 15 to 20 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Oct 2017, Grüne gains 15.5 points, SPD loses 8.0 points, CDU loses 6.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 7.0 points higher and FDP 4.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +7.0average 17.0
  • FDP -4.0average 10.0
  • AfD -3.0average 12.0
  • CDU +1.0average 27.0
  • Linke -1.0average 5.0
  • SPD ±0average 26.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 40 seatsSPD: 38 seatsGrüne: 35 seatsAfD: 13 seatsFDP: 9 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • CDU40
  • SPD38
  • Grüne35
  • AfD13
  • FDP9
  • CDU + SPD78 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne75 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne73 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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