Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 15 October 2020 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
6 to 12 Oct 2020
Respondents
1,004
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU35.0%+7.0
  • SPD27.0%+1.0
  • Grüne20.0%-4.0
  • AfD6.0%-3.0
  • Linke5.0%+1.0
  • FDP4.0%-2.0
  • Others3.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Nov 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Oct 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Nov 2018, CDU gains 7.0 points, Grüne loses 4.0 points, AfD loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 4.0 points higher and CDU 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +4.0average 16.0
  • CDU +3.0average 32.0
  • SPD -3.0average 30.0
  • AfD +1.0average 5.0
  • Linke -1.0average 6.0
  • FDP -1.0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 51 seatsSPD: 39 seatsGrüne: 29 seatsAfD: 9 seatsLinke: 7 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • CDU51
  • SPD39
  • Grüne29
  • AfD9
  • Linke7
  • CDU + SPD90 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne80 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne68 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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