Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 19 November 2021 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
11 to 16 Nov 2021
Respondents
1,160
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD36.0%+9.0
  • CDU23.0%-12.0
  • Grüne16.0%-4.0
  • FDP10.0%+6.0
  • AfD7.0%+1.0
  • Linke3.0%-2.0
  • Others5.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Oct 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 36.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 1,160 people were surveyed from 11 to 16 Nov 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Oct 2020, CDU loses 12.0 points, SPD gains 9.0 points, FDP gains 6.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.3average 37.3
  • CDU +1.3average 21.7
  • Linke -1.3average 4.3
  • Grüne +1.0average 15.0
  • FDP -1.0average 11.0
  • AfD +0.7average 6.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 53 seatsCDU: 34 seatsGrüne: 23 seatsFDP: 15 seatsAfD: 10 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD53
  • CDU34
  • Grüne23
  • FDP15
  • AfD10
  • SPD + CDU87 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne76 of 135
  • SPD + FDP68 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP72 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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