Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 5 October 2017 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
2 to 4 Oct 2017
Respondents
1,002
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD34.0%±0
  • CDU34.0%-1.0
  • Grüne8.5%-0.5
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%+2.0
  • Linke4.5%-0.5
  • Others3.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Sep 2017.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 34.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Sep 2017, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 3.4 points higher and CDU 3.4 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +3.4average 30.6
  • CDU -3.4average 37.4
  • Grüne -0.5average 9.0
  • FDP -0.3average 8.3
  • AfD +0.3average 7.7
  • Linke -0.3average 4.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 50 seatsCDU: 49 seatsFDP: 12 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsAfD: 12 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD50
  • CDU49
  • FDP12
  • Grüne12
  • AfD12
  • SPD + CDU99 of 135
  • SPD + FDP + Grüne74 of 135
  • SPD + FDP + AfD74 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD74 of 135
  • CDU + FDP + Grüne73 of 135
  • CDU + FDP + AfD73 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD73 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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