Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 22 September 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
15 to 20 Sep 2022
Respondents
1,156
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD32.0%+1.0
  • CDU28.0%+1.0
  • Grüne17.0%-2.0
  • AfD9.0%+2.0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 31 Aug 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 28.0%. 1,156 people were surveyed from 15 to 20 Sep 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 31 Aug 2022, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.4 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.4average 19.4
  • AfD +1.2average 7.8
  • FDP -1.1average 6.1
  • CDU +0.9average 27.1
  • SPD +0.6average 31.4
  • Linke +0.5average 3.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 48 seatsCDU: 42 seatsGrüne: 25 seatsAfD: 13 seatsFDP: 7 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD48
  • CDU42
  • Grüne25
  • AfD13
  • FDP7
  • SPD + CDU90 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne73 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD80 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP74 of 135
  • SPD + AfD + FDP68 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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