Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 29 September 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
26 to 28 Sep 2022
Respondents
1,529
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD32.0%±0
  • CDU30.0%+2.0
  • Grüne16.0%-1.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Linke3.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Sep 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 1,529 people were surveyed from 26 to 28 Sep 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Sep 2022, CDU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 2.1 points higher and Grüne 2.1 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +2.1average 27.9
  • Grüne -2.1average 18.1
  • AfD +1.0average 8.0
  • FDP -0.8average 5.8
  • Linke -0.4average 3.4
  • SPD ±0average 32.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 47 seatsCDU: 44 seatsGrüne: 24 seatsAfD: 13 seatsFDP: 7 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD47
  • CDU44
  • Grüne24
  • AfD13
  • FDP7
  • SPD + CDU91 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne71 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne68 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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