Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 14 November 2023 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
6 to 11 Nov 2023
Respondents
1,178
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU28.0%-2.0
  • SPD26.0%-6.0
  • AfD18.0%+9.0
  • Grüne13.0%-3.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others10.0%+5.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 29 Sep 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,178 people were surveyed from 6 to 11 Nov 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 29 Sep 2022, AfD gains 9.0 points, SPD loses 6.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 3.5 points lower and AfD 2.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -3.5average 29.5
  • AfD +2.5average 15.5
  • CDU -1.0average 29.0
  • FDP +0.5average 4.5
  • Grüne ±0average 13.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 42 seatsSPD: 39 seatsAfD: 27 seatsGrüne: 19 seatsFDP: 8 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • CDU42
  • SPD39
  • AfD27
  • Grüne19
  • FDP8
  • CDU + SPD81 of 135
  • CDU + AfD69 of 135
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne85 of 135
  • SPD + AfD + FDP74 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP69 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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