Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 8 November 2024 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
31 Oct 2024 to 6 Nov 2024
Respondents
1,159
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU32.0%+4.0
  • SPD25.0%-1.0
  • AfD15.0%-3.0
  • Grüne12.0%-1.0
  • BSW4.0%
  • Others12.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Nov 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,159 people were surveyed from 31 Oct 2024 to 6 Nov 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Nov 2023, CDU gains 4.0 points, AfD loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 52 seatsSPD: 40 seatsAfD: 24 seatsGrüne: 19 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • CDU52
  • SPD40
  • AfD24
  • Grüne19
  • CDU + SPD92 of 135
  • CDU + AfD76 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne71 of 135
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne83 of 135
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More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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