Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 19 November 2025 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
12 to 17 Nov 2025
Respondents
1,156
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD26.0%+1.0
  • CDU26.0%-6.0
  • AfD20.0%+5.0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%
  • FDP3.0%
  • BSW3.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%-8.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 8 Nov 2024.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,156 people were surveyed from 12 to 17 Nov 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 8 Nov 2024, CDU loses 6.0 points, AfD gains 5.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 39 seatsCDU: 39 seatsAfD: 30 seatsGrüne: 18 seatsLinke: 9 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD39
  • CDU39
  • AfD30
  • Grüne18
  • Linke9
  • SPD + CDU78 of 135
  • SPD + AfD69 of 135
  • CDU + AfD69 of 135
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Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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