Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 31 August 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
24 to 29 Aug 2022
Respondents
1,169
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD31.0%+1.0
  • CDU27.0%±0
  • Grüne19.0%-3.0
  • AfD7.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Jul 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 31.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 1,169 people were surveyed from 24 to 29 Aug 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Jul 2022, Grüne loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.0average 29.0
  • CDU -1.3average 28.3
  • Grüne -1.0average 20.0
  • FDP -1.0average 7.0
  • Linke +1.0average 3.0
  • AfD ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 47 seatsCDU: 40 seatsGrüne: 29 seatsAfD: 10 seatsFDP: 9 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD47
  • CDU40
  • Grüne29
  • AfD10
  • FDP9
  • SPD + CDU87 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne76 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne69 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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