Wahlergebnissede
Pollster and election

GMS on the federal election

82 polls since 9 February 2017, the latest from 14 September 2026 for GMS. Against the current average of all pollsters, GMS has AfD +2.1 and SPD -1.7. House effect since 22 Sep 2025: SPD -0.5, Linke -0.5, AfD +0.5.

  • AfD30.0%+2.0
  • CDU/CSU20.0%-3.0
  • Grüne14.0%+1.0
  • SPD11.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%+1.0
  • FDP4.0%-1.0
  • BSW3.0%+1.0
  • Freie Wähler1.0%±0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the GMS poll of 20 Jul 2026.

This poll in detail

Trend

All GMS figures for the federal election

010203040Oct 24Dec 24Feb 25Apr 25Jun 25Aug 25Oct 25Dec 25Feb 26Apr 26Jun 26Aug 26AfDCDU/CSUGrüneSPDLinkeFDPBSWFreie Wähler
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 45 days. Period 17 Sep 2024 to 14 Sep 2026. Tap the tiles to hide parties.
Accuracy

GMS before the last elections

Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.

  • Election 23 Feb 2025 (poll 19 Feb 2025)1.5 ptsbiggest miss Linke -2.8
  • Election 26 Sep 2021 (poll 14 Sep 2021)1.1 ptsbiggest miss FDP +1.5
  • Election 24 Sep 2017 (poll 21 Sep 2017)1.8 ptsbiggest miss CDU/CSU +4.1
Archive

All 82 polls

GMS polls for the federal election
PollsterPublishedAfDCDU/CSUGrüneSPDLinkeFDPBSWFreie WählerOthers
GMS14 Sep 202630201411114316
GMS20 Jul 202628231311105217
GMS1 Jun 202627231611115223
GMS3 Mar 202624261216103324
GMS5 Jan 202627241215103423
GMS17 Nov 2025262512141133–6
GMS30 Sep 202525261115103316
GMS1 Jul 20252229131594314
GMS19 May 202523261214104416
GMS7 Apr 202525261115104414
GMS19 Feb 20252031131564425
GMS7 Feb 20252130141554425
GMS3 Jan 20251833131634427
GMS3 Dec 20241734131534626
GMS17 Sep 20241834111424737
GMS13 Aug 20241732121435827
GMS18 Jun 20241831141435627
GMS7 May 20241831141524637
GMS6 Feb 20241832131624537
GMS3 Jan 20242333131436–35
GMS12 Dec 20232232151425–37
GMS19 Sep 20232327151646––9
GMS9 Aug 20232127141747––10
GMS4 Jul 20232028141747––10
GMS6 Jun 20231929151847––8
GMS4 Apr 20231531171946––8
GMS21 Feb 20231529171957––8
GMS4 Jan 20231429171957––9
GMS2 Dec 20221228211847––10
GMS26 Oct 20221528201846––9
GMS21 Sep 20221328211847––9
GMS27 Jul 20221027231859––8
GMS21 Jun 2022829212148––9
GMS31 May 2022730202248––9
GMS26 Apr 2022926182648––9
GMS1 Mar 20229271524610––9
GMS4 Jan 202211241626412––7
GMS5 Nov 202110211626415––8
GMS14 Sep 202111231625613––6
GMS7 Sep 202111231725612––6
GMS28 Jul 202110301815712––8
GMS21 Jun 202110282016812––6
GMS17 May 202111262415711––6
GMS29 Mar 202111262116811––7
GMS15 Feb 2021937181777––5
GMS4 Jan 2021937181686––6
GMS9 Nov 20201037191575––7
GMS12 Oct 20201036201675––6
GMS27 Jul 20201038191466––7
GMS15 Jun 2020939171586––6
GMS27 Apr 20201038161686––6
GMS3 Jan 20201428211389––7
GMS3 Dec 20191527211489––6
GMS8 Oct 20191527221478––7
GMS13 Sep 20191227231687––7
GMS23 Jul 20191228251388––6
GMS25 Jun 20191326261388––6
GMS9 May 20191329191798––5
GMS4 Apr 201913301815910––5
GMS28 Feb 20191431181699––3

The 60 most recent; older ones via the Chronicle.

Other elections covered by this pollster

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.