Single poll
GMS poll of 28 February 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 27 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 21 to 27 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 24 Jan 2019, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.4average 17.4
- AfD +1.2average 12.8
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 30.0
- FDP +0.5average 8.5
- Linke +0.5average 8.5
- Grüne +0.2average 17.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU202
- Grüne117
- SPD104
- AfD91
- FDP58
- Linke58
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke318 of 630
More
More polls
← GMS, 24 Jan 2019GMS, 4 Apr 2019 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.