GMS poll of 31 May 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 30 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+4.0
- SPD22.0%-4.0
- Grüne20.0%+2.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- AfD7.0%-2.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 26 Apr 2022.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 25 to 30 May 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 26 Apr 2022, CDU/CSU gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has CDU/CSU 2.8 points higher and AfD 2.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.8average 27.2
- AfD -2.8average 9.8
- Grüne -0.7average 20.7
- Linke -0.3average 4.3
- SPD -0.2average 22.2
- FDP ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU217
- SPD159
- Grüne145
- FDP58
- AfD51
- CDU/CSU + SPD376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.