Single poll

GMS poll of 26 April 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
GMS
Fieldwork period
20 to 25 Apr 2022
Respondents
1,003
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
  • SPD26.0%+2.0
  • Grüne18.0%+3.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-2.0
  • Linke4.0%-2.0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 1 Mar 2022.

In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 20 to 25 Apr 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.

Compared with the previous GMS poll of 1 Mar 2022, Grüne gains 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.4average 10.4
  • CDU/CSU +1.3average 24.7
  • SPD +1.3average 24.7
  • FDP -1.3average 9.3
  • Grüne -0.6average 18.6
  • Linke -0.6average 4.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 189 seatsSPD: 188 seatsGrüne: 130 seatsAfD: 65 seatsFDP: 58 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU189
  • SPD188
  • Grüne130
  • AfD65
  • FDP58
  • CDU/CSU + SPD377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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