GMS poll of 1 March 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 Feb 2022
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+3.0
- SPD24.0%-2.0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- FDP10.0%-2.0
- AfD9.0%-2.0
- Linke6.0%+2.0
- Others9.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 4 Jan 2022.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 Feb 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 4 Jan 2022, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has AfD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.8average 10.8
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 25.7
- Grüne -1.1average 16.1
- FDP +0.5average 9.5
- SPD -0.3average 24.3
- Linke -0.3average 6.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- SPD166
- Grüne104
- FDP69
- AfD62
- Linke42
- CDU/CSU + SPD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.