GMS poll of 4 January 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Dec 2021 to 3 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU24.0%+3.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP12.0%-3.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 5 Nov 2021.
In this poll GMS has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 29 Dec 2021 to 3 Jan 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 5 Nov 2021, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 22.7
- SPD -1.1average 27.1
- Linke -1.1average 5.1
- FDP +0.7average 11.3
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- Grüne +0.3average 15.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD184
- CDU/CSU170
- Grüne113
- FDP85
- AfD78
- SPD + CDU/CSU354 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP382 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD361 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.