GMS poll of 5 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 4 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD26.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU21.0%-2.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP15.0%+2.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%-2.0
- Others8.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 14 Sep 2021.
In this poll GMS has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 Nov 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 14 Sep 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has FDP 2.0 points higher and Linke 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.0average 13.0
- Linke -1.7average 5.7
- AfD -0.7average 10.7
- Grüne +0.5average 15.5
- SPD -0.2average 26.2
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 21.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD186
- CDU/CSU150
- Grüne115
- FDP107
- AfD72
- SPD + CDU/CSU336 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP408 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP372 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.