GMS poll of 14 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 13 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD25.0%±0
- CDU/CSU23.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- FDP13.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 7 Sep 2021.
In this poll GMS has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 8 to 13 Sep 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 7 Sep 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher and FDP 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.8average 21.2
- FDP +1.5average 11.5
- SPD -0.7average 25.7
- AfD -0.4average 11.4
- Linke -0.2average 6.2
- Grüne -0.1average 16.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD168
- CDU/CSU154
- Grüne107
- FDP87
- AfD74
- Linke40
- SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD335 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.