GMS poll of 7 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 6 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD25.0%+10.0
- CDU/CSU23.0%-7.0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 28 Jul 2021.
In this poll GMS has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 1 to 6 Sep 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 28 Jul 2021, SPD gains 10.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 7.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.6average 21.4
- Linke -0.6average 6.6
- SPD +0.2average 24.8
- Grüne +0.1average 16.9
- AfD -0.1average 11.1
- FDP ±0average 12.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD168
- CDU/CSU154
- Grüne114
- FDP80
- AfD74
- Linke40
- SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD342 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.