GMS poll of 28 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 27 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+2.0
- Grüne18.0%-2.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 21 Jun 2021.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 21 to 27 Jul 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 21 Jun 2021, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher and Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.6average 28.4
- Grüne -1.5average 19.5
- SPD -0.9average 15.9
- AfD -0.5average 10.5
- FDP +0.3average 11.7
- Linke +0.3average 6.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- Grüne123
- SPD103
- FDP82
- AfD68
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.